Thursday, October 23, 2008

UFC 90: Don't Count on Any Surprises

UFC 90 is coming up this weekend, and it's time to preview the action. Even though I only picked 7 out of 11 fights at UFC 89 correctly, I finished in the top 1% of the UFC's fantasy contest. Hopefully, I'll have a similar performance. Okay, let's jump right in;

Anderson Silva vs. Patrick Cote
Cote is a game opponent and a good striker, but like everyone else in the middleweight division, he's not match for the Spider. Expect Anderson to TKO him in the first or second round.

Josh Koscheck vs. Thiago Alves

Assuming Koscheck comes into this match in good shape, he should be able to take Alves to the ground for three rounds to grind out a decision. Alves' takedown defense was effective against Matt Hughes at UFC 85, but Koscheck is more explosive than Hughes, who may have lost a step over the years. And call me crazy, but Alves' strikigng didn't look all that hot against Hughes or Karo Parisyan for that matter.

Koscheck could get cocky and try to stand with Alves, but he wont' want to blow a a title shot. The conclusion: Alves will get 120% of the cheers but Koscheck will win via unanimous decision.

Gray Maynard vs. Rich Clementi
Clementi's been on a winning streak but it's about to end via Gray Maynard throwing him to the canvas and pounding on him for three rounds. Clementi has a good BJJ game, but if Maynard was able to control Frankie Edgar for three rounds, there's no reason to expect anything but a repeat performance. I'll take Maynard by unanimous decision.

Fabricio Werdum vs. Junior Dos Santos

I would assume this match-up is some sort of consolidation prize for Werdum, who was left out of the Couture/Lesnar/Nogueira/Mir four-man tournament for the title. Unless he gets struck by a bolt of lightning, BJJ monster Werdum will win by submission.

Sean Sherk vs. Tyson Griffin
Sean Sherk is a mighty big test for Tyson Griffin and this match could either be a barn-burner or it could be the most boring fight since I dreamed Machida fought his evil twin brother. Griffin is a damn good fighter but Sherk is going to come into this match fired up to deliver a hefty dose of his signature smothering wrestling style. Sherk by split decision.

As for the undercard, I'll take:

Leites > McFedries
Fisher > Gugerty
Miller > Horwich
Franco > Aurelio
Burkman > Sell

So to recap, I'm going with literally all the favorites. Not very exciting, but what can you do? Bookmaker.com was kind enough to post the odds, and unfortunately, there doesn't look to be anything worth betting on:

Anderson Silva -630 vs. Patrick Cote +480
Josh Koscheck -165 vs. Thiago Alves +135
Gray Maynard -240 vs. Rich Clementi +190
Fabricio Werdum -850 vs. Junior Dos Santos +600
Sean Sherk -260 vs. Tyson Griffin +210
Thales Leites -445 vs. Drew Mcfedries +365
Spencer Fisher -345 vs. Shannon Gugerty +275
Dan Miller -345 vs. Matt Horwich +275
Hermes Franca -200 vs. Marcus Aurelio +165
Josh Burkman -220 vs. Pete Sell +180

4 comments - click to add yours!:

Jak-Jack said...

Hey, bro. I TRIED to grant your requests, but for some reason, it won't let me put my entries into paragraph form. I did the best I could to make it readable for you and I did make the font bigger. If you know how to get it in paragraph form, let me know.

Mike said...

No worries man, I still like your site and will link to it soon! Hope all is well!

Big D said...

How did you turn out on this one? I got 194 points and was 111th out of 20411, not too bad for my first time!

Mike said...

Big D, I scored 215, came in 90th. Damn, I wanted that iPod Touch!